The Aberdeen Cup meeting is a day the Snowden Family hold dear to their heart and the stable generally finds a winner or two however I couldn’t find a spot for them in the top selections on Sunday which might not be the smartest punting move I have ever made.
Best Bet: Race 5 (1) Big Happiness
Next Best: Race 4 (4) Remorseless
Value Bet: Race 2 (11) Montelvini
Race by Race Preview
Race 1 GREG CRIBB MEMORIAL RED CROWN 2YO HANDICAP (900 METRES)
If the Jan Bowen-trained In Spades runs up to her close second at Newcastle last start she just about wins. A three-year-old daughter of Dissident, In Spades was nailed on the line by Bitcoin Baby with more than three-lengths to the third horse, the speed ratings produced were the best of three maidens on the day and the figures held up well against the benchmark 64 winner over the same journey, has to be the one to beat back to a country two-year-old race. Asherla resumes for Kris Lees and was placed both first preparation runs at Muswellbrook and Port Macquarie and have to respect the Peter and Paul Snowden-trained Repeal in a race the Snowden’s target most years.
Value Prices: (4) In Spades $2.40, (3) Asherla $4.40, (1) Repeal $7.00.
Race 2 FM 3YO & UP MAIDEN PLATE (900 METRES)
No surprise to see the Stephen Jones-trained Montelvini perform well on debut, a three-year-old daughter of Swiss Ace, Montelvini has trialled on seven occasions and finally gets to the races, a trial at Muswellbrook more than a year ago ticked every box I look for in trials so happy to have a speculative wager at the $19 available in early betting. Elusive Babbz resumes and has the race form on the board placing two from three in her first preparation. Respecting any market moves for the Sam Kavanagh-trained Anchor’s Point on debut.
Value Prices: (11) Montelvini $2.70, (4) Elusive Babbz $2.70, (1) Anchor’s Point.
Race 3 MAIDEN HANDICAP (1280 METRES)
Kandanga Miss has been placed in five of her nine starts to date including a Moree third resuming last start and connections have found a winnable race second-up. Miss Efficiency the danger coming off successive placings at Quirindi and Muswellbrook and is drawn to get the gun run in transit from the gate.
Value Prices: (4) Kandanga Miss $2.20, (5) Miss Efficiency $3.60.
Race 4 BENCHMARK 66 HANDICAP (1000 METRES)
Remorseless has his first start for Cameron Crockett after previously being trained by Peter and Paul Snowden and if he runs up to his recent trial wins at Dubbo and Scone it’s a case of get in the payout queue. Gelded during the break, Remorseless has the race form to back up his trials winning at Goulburn at his only start last preparation and was placed at Wyong and Kensington earlier in his career. Marokawa should be at his peak after three runs back from a break. Miss Eporetto resuming a value chance for the wider exotics.
Value Prices: (4) Remorseless $2.00, (6) Marokawa $5.00, (9) Miss Eporetto $9.80.
Race 5 CLASS 1 HANDICAP (1000 METRES)
His form in four first preparations runs was nothing to get excited about however the Kristen Buchanan-trained Big Happiness was well backed on a couple of occasions and the three-year-old son of Poet’s Voice certainly put it all together with a soft maiden win at Muswellbrook resuming last start producing the best ratings of three 1000m races on the day, confident he will go on with the job.
Value Prices: (1) Big Happiness $1.20.
Race 6 ERIC “SHORTY” CRIBB MEMORIAL ABERDEEN CUP (1280 METRES)
Nitride puts an unbeaten record over the 1280m at Muswellbrook on the line after two recent wins at the course including a benchmark 66 victory last start lumping 61kg and it’s hard to find a reason to suggest the five-year-old won’t make it three from three with just 55kg on his back launching from an ideal gate. Ranges was a Newcastle winner two back and is another yet to taste defeat at the track and distance being a maiden winner earlier in his career. Zouologist was outclassed at Kensington last start but stays under notice on his Bathurst win two back.
Value Prices: (10) Nitride $3.90, (8) Ranges $5.40, (5) Zouologist $8.00.
Race 7 CLASS 2 HANDICAP (1450 METRES)
Hope we are winning coming to the last because it’s somewhat of a lottery. Ultimately settled on Ay Bee Are which was an Armidale winner in the distance range two back. Black Star Bowie doesn’t win out of turn, but this is a winnable assignment. Last start Coffs Harbour winner One Star Shining has the Kris Lees polish. Forbidden Place has a good record at Muswellbrook.
Value Prices: (9) Ay Bee Are $3.70, (7) Black Star Bowie $4.10, (4) One Star Shining $5.00, (5) Forbidden Palace $6.80.