BetAnySports Line: Rams -13.5, Total 48.5

Yes, we laugh a little about the Giants, but why not? They were going against a B-team the 49ers put on the field (only a minor exaggeration), and were scorched by 27 points. Daniel Jones has now fumbled the ball 20 times since taking over the QB job from Eli Manning, which was only about a year ago. They have to get along without Saquon Barkley, out for the year with an ACL injury. The running back “committee” includes some names that are past their “sell-by” date, like Dion Lewis, Devonta Freeman and Alfred Morris. Just thirteen first downs and 231 yards last week.

Look at what the Rams are doing. They are running the ball 54% of the time, which is an NFL high. It is one of the basic components of Sean McVay’s offensive philosophy to run the ball in order to create effective play-action. And they are getting more than enough from Darrell Henderson and Malcolm Brown. Jared Goff has used it to get the ball down the field for 9.6 yards per attempt, an NFL-best. It’s all about having an offensive line that’s healthier than it was last year.

And one has to ask, after seeing last week’s shameful display, whether there is any limit to how low the Giants can go. Lay points with the RAMS, rebounding from last week’s heart-breaking loss in Buffalo.

BetAnySports Line: Colts -3 (-115), Total 43

This looks like some value for the Bears, doesn’t it, after Nick Foles came to the rescue last week. But Foles has only rarely been a model of consistency. And the Bears, if you don’t mind us saying, are a little short on weaponry, particularly with versatile back Tarik Cohen out of action.

Yes, Philip Rivers had some giveaways in the game with Jacksonville, and the Colts kind of underachieved in that one. But they have come back with blowouts of Minnesota and the Jets, and even though those are low-level foes, they did exactly what you would expect a good team to do against them, and then some. Rivers is 78.3% accurate,and that is best in the NFL. The Colts have yet to be held to a three-and-out yet. That’s not a typo.

Indianapolis is one of the few teams with an offensive line that can compete with what the Bears have on the defensive front. With Rivers navigating, they’ll move the chains, as something in this offense is working. And let’s give this defense some credit for stopping the Jets and Vikings cold. So yeah, we’ll lay the points with the COLTS.

BetAnySports Line: Bills -3.5 (+100), Total 52.5

Josh Allen looks like a guy in command. He is placing the ball a lot better, completing 71% of his passes, and there is no dink-and-dunk there either, as he’s averaging 9.1 yards a throw. He’ll get balance, as we doubt the Raider D-line, giving up a robust 5.6 yards an attempt, will do much to corral Devin Singletary.

But these Las Vegas dudes can move the ball as well. They are averaging 42 yards a drive; they are not an embarrassment in the red zone. They execute a short passing game rather well, and Derek Carr, who will turn to Darren Waller and Josh Jacobs a lot, has not thrown an interception. The Raiders are the fifth LEAST penalized team in the NFL! We’ll go OVER on this total.

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